Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals Prediction 8-15-24 MLB Picks

Washington Nationals (55-66) vs. Philadelphia Phillies (70-50)
August 15, 2024 6:40 pm EDT
The Line: Philadelphia Phillies -244 / Washington Nationals +200; Over/Under: +8.5
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In this article we will formulate a Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, August 15th at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game one in the series.

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 70-50 this year and they have lost four of their last five games. Philadelphia is coming off of a series split with Miami, where they won one game and lost one game. Prior to that series, the Phillies lost three out of four against the Diamondbacks, won two out of three against the Dodgers, and lost two out of three against the Mariners. Philadelphia is 4-4 in their last eight games and they are first in the NL East.

Washington Nationals Betting Preview

The Washington Nationals are 55-66 this season and they have won three of their last five games. Washington is coming off of a series split with Baltimore, where they won one game and lost one game. Prior to that series, the Nationals won two out of three against the Angels, lost three out of four against the Giants, and won two out of three against the Brewers. Washington is 6-5 in their last 11 games and they are fourth in the NL East.

The Washington pitching staff has a 4.31 ERA, a 1.34 WHIP, and a .260 opponent batting average. The Nationals offense has scored 518 runs with a .244 batting average and a .312 on base percentage. CJ Abrams is batting .252 with 17 home runs and 59 RBI’s for the Nationals this season.

Starting Pitchers

The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Zack Wheeler, who is 11-5 with a 2.78 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP over 142.2 innings pitched this year. Wheeler has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts. The projected starting pitcher for Washington is Mitchell Parker, who is 6-6 with a 3.83 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP over 112.2 innings pitched this season. Parker has allowed a total of two earned runs in his last three starts (17.1 IP).

Why the Phillies will beat the Nationals

The Nationals have lost 17 of their last 18 Thursday games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
The Phillies have won each of their last five home games against the Nationals.
The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five night games against NL East opponents.
The Phillies have covered the run line in four of their last five night games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
The Nationals have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three night games against NL East opponents.

Why the Nationals will beat the Phillies

The Phillies have lost each of their last six games as favorites following a win.
The underdogs have won five of the Phillies’ last six games at Citizens Bank Park.
The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as favorites following a win.
The Nationals have covered the run line in five of their last six games as road underdogs following a loss.
The Phillies have lost the first inning in three of their last four games as favorites against National League opponents.
The Phillies have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four games as favorites against National League opponents.
The Phillies have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four games as favorites against National League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

Eight of the Nationals’ last nine night games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
Each of the Phillies’ last four home games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Phillies’ last five games.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Nationals’ last five Thursday games against NL East opponents.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

Bryce Harper has recorded at least one Double in four of his last five appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
Kyle Schwarber has hit a home run in three of the Phillies’ last four home games against NL opponents.
Bryce Harper has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five appearances against NL East opponents at Citizens Bank Park.
J.T. Realmuto has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 10 appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a losing record.
Zack Wheeler has recorded a win in five of his last six appearances with the Phillies as home favorites against NL East opponents.
Trea Turner has recorded two or more total bases in 13 of his last 15 appearances in night games against NL teams that held a losing record.
Bryce Harper has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
Bryson Stott has scored at least one run in nine of his last 10 appearances against the Nationals after playing the previous day.

Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts

Luis Garcia has hit a home run in each of the Nationals’ last two games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
Luis Garcia has recorded two or more total bases in four of his last five appearances in night games against NL teams that held a winning record.
CJ Abrams has scored at least one run in four of the Nationals’ last five night games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
Luis Garcia has recorded at least one Single in eight of the Nationals’ last nine games against NL opponents.
Luis Garcia has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a winning record.
Joey Meneses has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five road appearances against opponents that held a winning record.

Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals Prediction

The Phillies were able to snap their small losing streak with a win on Wednesday, but they need to elevate their play if they want to keep a comfortable lead in the NL East. Philadelphia is 39-22 at home this year, while Washington is 27-34 on the road. The Nationals have played decently well in their last two series and they are starting Mitchell Parker, who has been great in his last three starts. Philadelphia is starting Zack Wheeler, who has been one of the best pitchers in the MLB so far this season. This is a pretty solid pitching matchup and with the Phillies being inconsistent on offense right now, my Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals prediction is for this game to go under the total.

David Racey's Free Pick: Under 8.5

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Philadelphia Phillies vs Washington Nationals Prediction 8-15-24 MLB Picks | Sports Chat Place (2024)